Náutico 0 x 1 Criciúma: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 1

Náutico

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0 × 1

Criciúma

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Sunday, March 22 · 04:00 PMEstádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Náutico win30.1%

Draw18.9%

Criciúma win51.1%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals36.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Criciúma beat Náutico 1 to 0 away from home, Sunday, March 22, at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho and in the Série B 2026.

Náutico had more of the ball (60% possession), shots were 2 to 7, and corners were 12 to 8.

Náutico arrived with 2 wins and 2 losses in the last 4 matches (6 of 12 points). Criciúma arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

Match statistics

60%Possession40%

1On target2

2Shots7

12Corners8

3Fouls2

1Offsides2

1Saves1

3Yellow cards3

1Red cards0

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Criciúma win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

NáuticoLLWW

Náutico's last matches
05/20	Náutico 1x2 São Paulo
04/29	São Paulo 2x1 Náutico
03/12	Vitória 0x2 Náutico
02/19	Santa Cruz de Natal RN 0x4 Náutico

CriciúmaDDWWL

Criciúma's last matches
10/19	Avaí 1x1 Criciúma
10/02	Vila Nova 1x1 Criciúma
08/28	Remo 0x1 Criciúma
07/13	Criciúma 2x1 Ferroviária
06/27	Criciúma 1x2 Avaí

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Frequently asked questions about Náutico vs Criciúma

What was the score of Náutico vs Criciúma?: Náutico 0 x 1 Criciúma, Sunday, March 22, at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Náutico vs Criciúma?: The model pointed to a Criciúma win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Náutico vs Criciúma?: Náutico had more of the ball (60% possession), shots were 2 to 7, and corners were 12 to 8.
How did Náutico and Criciúma arrive for this match?: Náutico arrived with 2 wins and 2 losses in the last 4 matches (6 of 12 points). Criciúma arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.