Mirassol 1 x 1 Grêmio: stats and analysis

Copa do Brasil 2026

Mirassol

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1 × 1

Grêmio

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Sunday, August 2 · 06:00 PMEstádio José Maria de Campos Maia

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Mirassol win22.1%

Draw58.1%

Grêmio win19.8%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals0.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Mirassol and Grêmio drew 1 to 1, Sunday, August 2, at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia and in the Copa do Brasil 2026.

Mirassol had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 10 to 10, and corners were 3 to 2.

Mirassol arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Grêmio arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Mirassol, 0 for Grêmio and 0 draws.

Match statistics

53%Possession47%

2On target3

10Shots10

3Corners2

10Fouls8

1Offsides2

2Saves1

2Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

MirassolWDWLL

Mirassol's last matches
07/29	Mirassol 2x1 Remo
07/25	Vasco da Gama 1x1 Mirassol
07/17	Mirassol 2x1 Grêmio
05/30	Athletico PR 1x0 Mirassol
05/26	Lanús 1x0 Mirassol

GrêmioDLLWD

Grêmio's last matches
07/26	Grêmio 1x1 Fluminense
07/17	Mirassol 2x1 Grêmio
05/30	Grêmio 1x3 Corinthians
05/23	Grêmio 3x2 Santos
05/17	Bahia 1x1 Grêmio

Head-to-head

Last matches between Mirassol and Grêmio
07/17/2026	Mirassol 2x1 Grêmio
09/13/2025	Grêmio 0x1 Mirassol

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Frequently asked questions about Mirassol vs Grêmio

What was the score of Mirassol vs Grêmio?: Mirassol 1 x 1 Grêmio, Sunday, August 2, at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, in the Copa do Brasil 2026.
What did the model predict for Mirassol vs Grêmio?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Mirassol vs Grêmio?: Mirassol had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 10 to 10, and corners were 3 to 2.
How did Mirassol and Grêmio arrive for this match?: Mirassol arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Grêmio arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Mirassol, 0 for Grêmio and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.