LDU Quito 3 x 2 Palmeiras: stats and analysis

Copa Libertadores 2026

LDU Quito

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3 × 2

Palmeiras

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Wednesday, September 16 · 07:00 PMEstadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado

What the model calculated before the match

Result

LDU Quito win22.2%

Draw41.1%

Palmeiras win36.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals18.7%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

LDU Quito beat Palmeiras 3 to 2 at home, Wednesday, September 16, at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado and in the Copa Libertadores 2026.

LDU Quito had more of the ball (69% possession), shots were 14 to 8, and corners were 10 to 4.

LDU Quito arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Palmeiras arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for LDU Quito, 2 for Palmeiras and 0 draws.

Match statistics

69%Possession31%

5On target4

14Shots8

10Corners4

13Fouls8

0Offsides1

2Saves2

2Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

LDU QuitoLDDWW

LDU Quito's last matches
09/09	Palmeiras 1x0 LDU Quito
08/20	LDU Quito 0x0 Mirassol
08/13	Mirassol 1x1 LDU Quito
05/26	LDU Quito 3x2 Always Ready
05/20	LDU Quito 2x0 Lanús

PalmeirasWWDDD

Palmeiras's last matches
09/12	Palmeiras 2x0 São Paulo
09/09	Palmeiras 1x0 LDU Quito
09/06	Botafogo 0x0 Palmeiras
09/02	Santos 0x0 Palmeiras
08/30	Mirassol 1x1 Palmeiras

Head-to-head

Last matches between LDU Quito and Palmeiras
09/09/2026	Palmeiras 1x0 LDU Quito
10/30/2025	Palmeiras 4x0 LDU Quito
10/23/2025	LDU Quito 3x0 Palmeiras

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches today

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Frequently asked questions about LDU Quito vs Palmeiras

What was the score of LDU Quito vs Palmeiras?: LDU Quito 3 x 2 Palmeiras, Wednesday, September 16, at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, in the Copa Libertadores 2026.
What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Palmeiras?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for LDU Quito vs Palmeiras?: LDU Quito had more of the ball (69% possession), shots were 14 to 8, and corners were 10 to 4.
How did LDU Quito and Palmeiras arrive for this match?: LDU Quito arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Palmeiras arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for LDU Quito, 2 for Palmeiras and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.