Independiente del Valle 3 x 1 Deportes Tolima: stats and analysis

Copa Libertadores 2026

Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

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3 × 1

Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima

Away

Estadio Banco Guayaquil

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Independiente del Valle win55.4%
Draw30.7%
Deportes Tolima win13.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals58.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Independiente del Valle beat Deportes Tolima 3 to 1 at home, Tuesday, August 25, at Estadio Banco Guayaquil and in the Copa Libertadores 2026.

Deportes Tolima had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 18 to 7, and corners were 3 to 2.

Independiente del Valle arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points). Deportes Tolima arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Deportes Tolima 0 x 1 Independiente del Valle.

Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima stats

Match statistics
46%Possession54%
7On target3
18Shots7
3Corners2
3Fouls11
0Offsides2
1Saves4
1Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Independiente del Valle win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Independiente del ValleWWWLW

Independiente del Valle's last matches
08/18Deportes Tolima 0x1 Independiente del Valle
05/27Independiente del Valle 1x0 Rosario Central
05/19Independiente del Valle 4x1 Libertad
05/05UCV 2x0 Independiente del Valle
04/28Libertad 2x3 Independiente del Valle

Deportes TolimaLDLWW

Deportes Tolima's last matches
08/18Deportes Tolima 0x1 Independiente del Valle
05/26Universitario 0x0 Deportes Tolima
05/19Coquimbo Unido 3x0 Deportes Tolima
05/06Deportes Tolima 3x0 Nacional
04/28Deportes Tolima 3x0 Coquimbo Unido

Head-to-head

Last matches between Independiente del Valle and Deportes Tolima
08/18/2026Deportes Tolima 0x1 Independiente del Valle

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Frequently asked questions about Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima

What was the score of Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima?
Independiente del Valle 3 x 1 Deportes Tolima, Tuesday, August 25, at Estadio Banco Guayaquil, in the Copa Libertadores 2026.
What did the model predict for Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima?
The model pointed to a Independiente del Valle win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima?
Deportes Tolima had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 18 to 7, and corners were 3 to 2.
How did Independiente del Valle and Deportes Tolima arrive for this match?
Independiente del Valle arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points). Deportes Tolima arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Deportes Tolima 0 x 1 Independiente del Valle.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.