Grêmio 3 x 1 Internacional: stats and analysis

Copa do Brasil 2026

Grêmio

Grêmio

Home

3 × 1

Internacional

Internacional

Away

Arena do Grêmio

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Grêmio win38.7%
Draw41.1%
Internacional win20.1%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals96.5%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Grêmio beat Internacional 3 to 1 at home, Thursday, September 3, at Arena do Grêmio and in the Copa do Brasil 2026.

Internacional had more of the ball (60% possession), shots were 6 to 18, and corners were 4 to 13.

Grêmio arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Internacional arrived with 4 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Grêmio, 0 for Internacional and 2 draws.

Grêmio vs Internacional stats

Match statistics
40%Possession60%
5On target7
6Shots18
4Corners13
9Fouls17
3Offsides1
6Saves2
4Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

GrêmioWDLLW

Grêmio's last matches
08/30Grêmio 3x1 Chapecoense
08/27Internacional 0x0 Grêmio
08/23Bragantino 1x0 Grêmio
08/16Atlético Mineiro 3x0 Grêmio
08/08Grêmio 2x1 São Paulo

InternacionalLDDDD

Internacional's last matches
08/30Bahia 3x2 Internacional
08/27Internacional 0x0 Grêmio
08/22Internacional 0x0 Atlético Mineiro
08/17Internacional 1x1 Remo
08/09Palmeiras 0x0 Internacional

Head-to-head

Last matches between Grêmio and Internacional
08/27/2026Internacional 0x0 Grêmio
04/11/2026Internacional 0x0 Grêmio

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Frequently asked questions about Grêmio vs Internacional

What was the score of Grêmio vs Internacional?
Grêmio 3 x 1 Internacional, Thursday, September 3, at Arena do Grêmio, in the Copa do Brasil 2026.
What did the model predict for Grêmio vs Internacional?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Grêmio vs Internacional?
Internacional had more of the ball (60% possession), shots were 6 to 18, and corners were 4 to 13.
How did Grêmio and Internacional arrive for this match?
Grêmio arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Internacional arrived with 4 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Grêmio, 0 for Internacional and 2 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.