Fluminense 1 x 2 Palmeiras: stats and analysis

Copa Libertadores 2026

Fluminense

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1 × 2

Palmeiras

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Wednesday, October 14 · 09:30 PMEstadio Jornalista Mário Filho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Fluminense win24.1%

Draw41.0%

Palmeiras win34.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals32.4%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Palmeiras beat Fluminense 2 to 1 away from home, Wednesday, October 14, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho and in the Copa Libertadores 2026.

Fluminense had more of the ball (70% possession), shots were 9 to 7, and corners were 6 to 0.

Fluminense arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Palmeiras arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Fluminense, 1 for Palmeiras and 0 draws.

Match statistics

70%Possession30%

3On target5

9Shots7

6Corners0

9Fouls15

2Offsides2

3Saves2

1Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

FluminenseLWWLL

Fluminense's last matches
10/11	Flamengo 1x0 Fluminense
10/08	Fluminense 4x0 Coritiba
09/20	Corinthians 1x3 Fluminense
09/15	Platense 2x1 Fluminense
09/12	Atlético Mineiro 3x1 Fluminense

PalmeirasWWDLW

Palmeiras's last matches
10/11	Palmeiras 4x1 Corinthians
10/08	Palmeiras 1x0 Bahia
09/20	Grêmio 0x0 Palmeiras
09/16	LDU Quito 3x2 Palmeiras
09/12	Palmeiras 2x0 São Paulo

Head-to-head

Last matches between Fluminense and Palmeiras
08/15/2026	Fluminense 3x2 Palmeiras
02/25/2026	Palmeiras 2x1 Fluminense

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Frequently asked questions about Fluminense vs Palmeiras

What was the score of Fluminense vs Palmeiras?: Fluminense 1 x 2 Palmeiras, Wednesday, October 14, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, in the Copa Libertadores 2026.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Palmeiras?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Fluminense vs Palmeiras?: Fluminense had more of the ball (70% possession), shots were 9 to 7, and corners were 6 to 0.
How did Fluminense and Palmeiras arrive for this match?: Fluminense arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Palmeiras arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Fluminense, 1 for Palmeiras and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.