Flamengo 1 x 1 Independiente del Valle: stats and analysis

Copa Libertadores 2026

Flamengo

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1 × 1

Independiente del Valle

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Thursday, September 17 · 09:30 PMEstadio Jornalista Mário Filho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Flamengo win62.1%

Draw26.5%

Independiente del Valle win11.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals47.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Flamengo and Independiente del Valle drew 1 to 1, Thursday, September 17, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho and in the Copa Libertadores 2026.

Flamengo had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 7 to 6, and corners were 5 to 3.

Flamengo arrived with 5 wins in the last 5 matches (15 of 15 points). Independiente del Valle arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Independiente del Valle 0 x 2 Flamengo.

Match statistics

53%Possession47%

3On target4

7Shots6

5Corners3

13Fouls3

0Offsides2

3Saves2

5Yellow cards1

1Red cards0

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Flamengo win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

FlamengoWWWWW

Flamengo's last matches
09/13	Flamengo 2x1 Corinthians
09/10	Independiente del Valle 0x2 Flamengo
09/06	Remo 0x1 Flamengo
09/02	Flamengo 2x0 Mirassol
08/30	Flamengo 3x0 Botafogo

Independiente del ValleLWWWW

Independiente del Valle's last matches
09/10	Independiente del Valle 0x2 Flamengo
08/25	Independiente del Valle 3x1 Deportes Tolima
08/18	Deportes Tolima 0x1 Independiente del Valle
05/27	Independiente del Valle 1x0 Rosario Central
05/19	Independiente del Valle 4x1 Libertad

Head-to-head

Last matches between Flamengo and Independiente del Valle
09/10/2026	Independiente del Valle 0x2 Flamengo

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Frequently asked questions about Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle

What was the score of Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle?: Flamengo 1 x 1 Independiente del Valle, Thursday, September 17, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, in the Copa Libertadores 2026.
What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle?: The model pointed to a Flamengo win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle?: Flamengo had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 7 to 6, and corners were 5 to 3.
How did Flamengo and Independiente del Valle arrive for this match?: Flamengo arrived with 5 wins in the last 5 matches (15 of 15 points). Independiente del Valle arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Independiente del Valle 0 x 2 Flamengo.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.