Flamengo 2 x 1 Cruzeiro: stats and analysis

Copa Libertadores 2026

Flamengo

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2 × 1

Cruzeiro

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Wednesday, August 19 · 09:30 PMEstadio Jornalista Mário Filho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Flamengo win47.6%

Draw37.2%

Cruzeiro win15.3%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals49.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Flamengo beat Cruzeiro 2 to 1 at home, Wednesday, August 19, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho and in the Copa Libertadores 2026.

Flamengo had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 20 to 9, and corners were 3 to 6.

Flamengo arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Cruzeiro arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Flamengo, 0 for Cruzeiro and 1 draw.

Match statistics

52%Possession48%

9On target3

20Shots9

3Corners6

9Fouls13

1Offsides0

2Saves7

1Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Flamengo win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

FlamengoWDWDD

Flamengo's last matches
08/16	Mirassol 1x5 Flamengo
08/12	Cruzeiro 1x1 Flamengo
08/09	Flamengo 2x0 Vitória
07/29	Internacional 1x1 Flamengo
07/26	Flamengo 1x1 São Paulo

CruzeiroWDWWD

Cruzeiro's last matches
08/16	Corinthians 1x2 Cruzeiro
08/12	Cruzeiro 1x1 Flamengo
08/09	Cruzeiro 3x1 Mirassol
08/05	Cruzeiro 2x0 Chapecoense
08/02	Chapecoense 0x0 Cruzeiro

Head-to-head

Last matches between Flamengo and Cruzeiro
08/12/2026	Cruzeiro 1x1 Flamengo
03/11/2026	Flamengo 2x0 Cruzeiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Frequently asked questions about Flamengo vs Cruzeiro

What was the score of Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?: Flamengo 2 x 1 Cruzeiro, Wednesday, August 19, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, in the Copa Libertadores 2026.
What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?: The model pointed to a Flamengo win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?: Flamengo had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 20 to 9, and corners were 3 to 6.
How did Flamengo and Cruzeiro arrive for this match?: Flamengo arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Cruzeiro arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Flamengo, 0 for Cruzeiro and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.