Estudiantes 1 x 1 Universidad Católica: stats and analysis

Copa Libertadores 2026

Estudiantes

Estudiantes

Home

1 × 1

Universidad Católica

Universidad Católica

Away

Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Estudiantes win25.2%
Draw43.2%
Universidad Católica win31.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals33.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Estudiantes and Universidad Católica drew 1 to 1, Tuesday, August 11, at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes and in the Copa Libertadores 2026.

Estudiantes had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 14 to 4, and corners were 11 to 1.

Estudiantes arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Universidad Católica arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points).

Estudiantes vs Universidad Católica stats

Match statistics
52%Possession48%
5On target1
14Shots4
11Corners1
15Fouls12
3Offsides1
0Saves4
2Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

EstudiantesLLWLW

Estudiantes's last matches
08/08Deportivo Riestra 2x0 Estudiantes
08/05Boca Juniors 1x0 Estudiantes
08/01Estudiantes 3x0 Defensa y Justicia
07/26Estudiantes 0x2 Independiente
05/26Estudiantes 1x0 Independiente Medellín

Universidad CatólicaWWDWW

Universidad Católica's last matches
05/28Boca Juniors 0x1 Universidad Católica
05/21Universidad Católica 2x0 Barcelona Guayaquil
05/06Universidad Católica 0x0 Cruzeiro
04/29Barcelona Guayaquil 1x2 Universidad Católica
04/15Cruzeiro 1x2 Universidad Católica

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches today

Frequently asked questions about Estudiantes vs Universidad Católica

What was the score of Estudiantes vs Universidad Católica?
Estudiantes 1 x 1 Universidad Católica, Tuesday, August 11, at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, in the Copa Libertadores 2026.
What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Universidad Católica?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Estudiantes vs Universidad Católica?
Estudiantes had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 14 to 4, and corners were 11 to 1.
How did Estudiantes and Universidad Católica arrive for this match?
Estudiantes arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Universidad Católica arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.