Estudiantes 1 x 1 Corinthians: stats and analysis

Copa Libertadores 2026

Estudiantes

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1 × 1

Corinthians

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Wednesday, September 9 · 09:30 PMEstadio Mario Alberto Kempes

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Estudiantes win55.2%

Draw31.8%

Corinthians win13.1%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals26.5%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Estudiantes and Corinthians drew 1 to 1, Wednesday, September 9, at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes and in the Copa Libertadores 2026.

Estudiantes had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 11 to 7, and corners were 5 to 1.

Estudiantes arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Corinthians arrived with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).

Match statistics

51%Possession49%

6On target3

11Shots7

5Corners1

16Fouls18

2Offsides0

2Saves5

3Yellow cards4

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Estudiantes win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

EstudiantesLDLWW

Estudiantes's last matches
09/05	Vélez Sarsfield 1x0 Estudiantes
08/31	Estudiantes 0x0 Newell's Old Boys
08/23	Sarmiento 2x0 Estudiantes
08/18	Universidad Católica 0x3 Estudiantes
08/15	Estudiantes 4x0 Gimnasia La Plata

CorinthiansLLLWL

Corinthians's last matches
09/06	Corinthians 1x2 Chapecoense
08/30	Corinthians 0x1 Santos
08/23	Coritiba 2x1 Corinthians
08/20	Corinthians 1x0 Rosario Central
08/16	Corinthians 1x2 Cruzeiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches today

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Frequently asked questions about Estudiantes vs Corinthians

What was the score of Estudiantes vs Corinthians?: Estudiantes 1 x 1 Corinthians, Wednesday, September 9, at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, in the Copa Libertadores 2026.
What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Corinthians?: The model pointed to a Estudiantes win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Estudiantes vs Corinthians?: Estudiantes had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 11 to 7, and corners were 5 to 1.
How did Estudiantes and Corinthians arrive for this match?: Estudiantes arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Corinthians arrived with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.