Deportes Tolima 0 x 1 Independiente del Valle: stats and analysis

Copa Libertadores 2026

Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima

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0 × 1

Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

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Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Deportes Tolima win29.0%
Draw44.6%
Independiente del Valle win26.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals35.3%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Independiente del Valle beat Deportes Tolima 1 to 0 away from home, Tuesday, August 18, at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro and in the Copa Libertadores 2026.

Deportes Tolima had more of the ball (68% possession), shots were 11 to 7, and corners were 5 to 3.

Deportes Tolima arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Independiente del Valle arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points).

Deportes Tolima vs Independiente del Valle stats

Match statistics
68%Possession32%
5On target2
11Shots7
5Corners3
18Fouls6
1Offsides1
1Saves5
2Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Deportes TolimaDLWWL

Deportes Tolima's last matches
05/26Universitario 0x0 Deportes Tolima
05/19Coquimbo Unido 3x0 Deportes Tolima
05/06Deportes Tolima 3x0 Nacional
04/28Deportes Tolima 3x0 Coquimbo Unido
04/14Nacional 3x1 Deportes Tolima

Independiente del ValleWWLWW

Independiente del Valle's last matches
05/27Independiente del Valle 1x0 Rosario Central
05/19Independiente del Valle 4x1 Libertad
05/05UCV 2x0 Independiente del Valle
04/28Libertad 2x3 Independiente del Valle
04/15Independiente del Valle 3x1 UCV

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches today

Frequently asked questions about Deportes Tolima vs Independiente del Valle

What was the score of Deportes Tolima vs Independiente del Valle?
Deportes Tolima 0 x 1 Independiente del Valle, Tuesday, August 18, at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, in the Copa Libertadores 2026.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Independiente del Valle?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Deportes Tolima vs Independiente del Valle?
Deportes Tolima had more of the ball (68% possession), shots were 11 to 7, and corners were 5 to 3.
How did Deportes Tolima and Independiente del Valle arrive for this match?
Deportes Tolima arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Independiente del Valle arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.