Cuiabá 1 x 0 Vila Nova: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 13

Cuiabá

Cuiabá

Home

1 × 0

Vila Nova

Vila Nova

Away

Arena Pantanal

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Cuiabá win45.0%
Draw29.4%
Vila Nova win25.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals8.5%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Cuiabá beat Vila Nova 1 to 0 at home, Sunday, June 14, at Arena Pantanal and in the Série B 2026.

Cuiabá had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 7 to 9, and corners were 5 to 2.

Cuiabá arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Vila Nova arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points).

Cuiabá vs Vila Nova stats

Match statistics
51%Possession49%
4On target3
7Shots9
5Corners2
12Fouls10
4Offsides2
3Saves3
1Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Cuiabá win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CuiabáWWLDD

Cuiabá's last matches
06/09Ponte Preta 1x2 Cuiabá
05/31Cuiabá 2x0 CRB
05/22Náutico 1x0 Cuiabá
05/16Cuiabá 0x0 Novorizontino
05/09Athletic Club 0x0 Cuiabá

Vila NovaWWWWL

Vila Nova's last matches
06/08Vila Nova 1x0 Botafogo SP
05/31Londrina 0x1 Vila Nova
05/24América Mineiro 1x2 Vila Nova
05/17Vila Nova 2x0 Avaí
05/09Goiás 1x0 Vila Nova

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 13

Frequently asked questions about Cuiabá vs Vila Nova

What was the score of Cuiabá vs Vila Nova?
Cuiabá 1 x 0 Vila Nova, Sunday, June 14, at Arena Pantanal, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Cuiabá vs Vila Nova?
The model pointed to a Cuiabá win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Cuiabá vs Vila Nova?
Cuiabá had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 7 to 9, and corners were 5 to 2.
How did Cuiabá and Vila Nova arrive for this match?
Cuiabá arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Vila Nova arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.