Ceará 1 x 1 São Bernardo: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 1

Ceará

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1 × 1

São Bernardo

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Saturday, March 21 · 06:00 PMEstádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Ceará win27.5%

Draw44.5%

São Bernardo win28.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals35.2%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Ceará and São Bernardo drew 1 to 1, Saturday, March 21, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo and in the Série B 2026.

Ceará had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 17 to 4, and corners were 7 to 3.

Ceará arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). São Bernardo arrived with 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 matches (7 of 9 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended São Bernardo 0 x 0 Ceará.

Match statistics

52%Possession48%

6On target3

17Shots4

7Corners3

0Fouls2

3Offsides6

2Saves6

2Yellow cards0

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CearáDWWDL

Ceará's last matches
03/17	São Bernardo 0x0 Ceará
03/12	Maranhão 0x1 Ceará
02/26	Ceará 2x1 Primavera SP
11/29	Ceará 1x1 Cruzeiro
11/24	Mirassol 3x0 Ceará

São BernardoDWW

São Bernardo's last matches
03/17	São Bernardo 0x0 Ceará
03/10	Joinville 0x1 São Bernardo
02/25	São Bernardo 2x0 Atlético Alagoinhas

Head-to-head

Last matches between Ceará and São Bernardo
03/17/2026	São Bernardo 0x0 Ceará

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Frequently asked questions about Ceará vs São Bernardo

What was the score of Ceará vs São Bernardo?: Ceará 1 x 1 São Bernardo, Saturday, March 21, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Ceará vs São Bernardo?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Ceará vs São Bernardo?: Ceará had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 17 to 4, and corners were 7 to 3.
How did Ceará and São Bernardo arrive for this match?: Ceará arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). São Bernardo arrived with 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 matches (7 of 9 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended São Bernardo 0 x 0 Ceará.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.