What was the score of Botafogo vs Grêmio?

Botafogo 3 x 2 Grêmio, Wednesday, September 16, at Estádio Nilton Santos, in the Série A 2026.

Botafogo 3 x 2 Grêmio: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 21

Botafogo

Home

3 × 2

Grêmio

Away

Wednesday, September 16 · 07:30 PMEstádio Nilton Santos

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Botafogo win43.9%

Draw37.2%

Grêmio win18.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals34.2%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Botafogo beat Grêmio 3 to 2 at home, Wednesday, September 16, at Estádio Nilton Santos and in the Série A 2026.

Grêmio had more of the ball (64% possession), shots were 9 to 11, and corners were 3 to 3.

Botafogo arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points). Grêmio arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Grêmio 5 x 3 Botafogo.

Match statistics

36%Possession64%

7On target3

9Shots11

3Corners3

13Fouls11

0Offsides2

1Saves4

1Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Botafogo win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

BotafogoDDLLL

Botafogo's last matches
09/12	Botafogo 1x1 Bragantino
09/06	Botafogo 0x0 Palmeiras
08/30	Flamengo 3x0 Botafogo
08/24	Botafogo 2x3 Athletico PR
08/16	Vitória 1x0 Botafogo

GrêmioLLWWD

Grêmio's last matches
09/12	Grêmio 1x2 Vasco da Gama
09/07	Vitória 1x0 Grêmio
09/03	Grêmio 3x1 Internacional
08/30	Grêmio 3x1 Chapecoense
08/27	Internacional 0x0 Grêmio

Head-to-head

Last matches between Botafogo and Grêmio
02/04/2026	Grêmio 5x3 Botafogo

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Frequently asked questions about Botafogo vs Grêmio

What was the score of Botafogo vs Grêmio?: Botafogo 3 x 2 Grêmio, Wednesday, September 16, at Estádio Nilton Santos, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Grêmio?: The model pointed to a Botafogo win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Botafogo vs Grêmio?: Grêmio had more of the ball (64% possession), shots were 9 to 11, and corners were 3 to 3.
How did Botafogo and Grêmio arrive for this match?: Botafogo arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points). Grêmio arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Grêmio 5 x 3 Botafogo.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.