Botafogo SP 4 x 0 Fortaleza: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 1

Botafogo SP

Botafogo SP

Home

4 × 0

Fortaleza

Fortaleza

Away

Estádio Santa Cruz

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Botafogo SP win57.5%
Draw19.5%
Fortaleza win23.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals30.7%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Botafogo SP beat Fortaleza 4 to 0 at home, Saturday, March 21, at Estádio Santa Cruz and in the Série B 2026.

Fortaleza had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 11 to 5, and corners were 7 to 5.

Botafogo SP arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Fortaleza arrived with 5 wins in the last 5 matches (15 of 15 points).

Botafogo SP vs Fortaleza stats

Match statistics
47%Possession53%
6On target0
11Shots5
7Corners5
7Fouls9
0Offsides1
0Saves2
2Yellow cards5
0Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Botafogo SP win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Botafogo SPDLLWL

Botafogo SP's last matches
10/19Botafogo SP 2x2 Cuiabá
09/14Athletic Club 2x0 Botafogo SP
09/06Botafogo SP 1x3 Athletico PR
08/25Botafogo SP 2x0 Vila Nova
07/28Avaí 5x0 Botafogo SP

FortalezaWWWWW

Fortaleza's last matches
03/17Nova Iguaçu 0x1 Fortaleza
03/11Manauara 0x1 Fortaleza
02/24Fortaleza 4x3 Maguary PE
10/05Juventude 1x2 Fortaleza
09/13Fortaleza 2x0 Vitória

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Frequently asked questions about Botafogo SP vs Fortaleza

What was the score of Botafogo SP vs Fortaleza?
Botafogo SP 4 x 0 Fortaleza, Saturday, March 21, at Estádio Santa Cruz, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Fortaleza?
The model pointed to a Botafogo SP win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Botafogo SP vs Fortaleza?
Fortaleza had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 11 to 5, and corners were 7 to 5.
How did Botafogo SP and Fortaleza arrive for this match?
Botafogo SP arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Fortaleza arrived with 5 wins in the last 5 matches (15 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.