What was the score of Bahia vs Chapecoense?

Bahia 2 x 0 Chapecoense, Friday, July 17, at Arena Fonte Nova, in the Série A 2026.

Bahia 2 x 0 Chapecoense: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 4

Bahia

Home

2 × 0

Chapecoense

Away

Friday, July 17 · 07:30 PMArena Fonte Nova

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Bahia win72.6%

Draw14.0%

Chapecoense win13.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals53.9%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Bahia beat Chapecoense 2 to 0 at home, Friday, July 17, at Arena Fonte Nova and in the Série A 2026.

Bahia had more of the ball (65% possession), shots were 11 to 7, and corners were 10 to 6.

Bahia arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Chapecoense arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).

Match statistics

65%Possession35%

6On target2

11Shots7

10Corners6

17Fouls17

0Offsides2

2Saves4

2Yellow cards0

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Bahia win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

BahiaWLDLL

Bahia's last matches
05/30	Bahia 2x1 Botafogo
05/25	Coritiba 3x2 Bahia
05/17	Bahia 1x1 Grêmio
05/13	Remo 2x1 Bahia
05/09	Bahia 1x2 Cruzeiro

ChapecoenseLLLWD

Chapecoense's last matches
05/31	Palmeiras 1x0 Chapecoense
05/24	Cruzeiro 2x1 Chapecoense
05/17	Chapecoense 2x3 Remo
05/14	Chapecoense 2x0 Botafogo
05/10	Mirassol 1x1 Chapecoense

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 4

Botafogo 0 x 0 Vitória07/23

Frequently asked questions about Bahia vs Chapecoense

What was the score of Bahia vs Chapecoense?: Bahia 2 x 0 Chapecoense, Friday, July 17, at Arena Fonte Nova, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Bahia vs Chapecoense?: The model pointed to a Bahia win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Bahia vs Chapecoense?: Bahia had more of the ball (65% possession), shots were 11 to 7, and corners were 10 to 6.
How did Bahia and Chapecoense arrive for this match?: Bahia arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Chapecoense arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.