Atlético Mineiro 2 x 1 Cruzeiro: stats and analysis

Copa do Brasil 2026

Atlético Mineiro

Atlético Mineiro

Home

2 × 1

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

Away

Arena MRV

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Atlético Mineiro win44.0%
Draw38.6%
Cruzeiro win17.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals93.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Atlético Mineiro beat Cruzeiro 2 to 1 at home, Tuesday, September 1, at Arena MRV and in the Copa do Brasil 2026.

Atlético Mineiro had more of the ball (62% possession), shots were 20 to 9, and corners were 8 to 2.

Atlético Mineiro arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Cruzeiro arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

In the 5 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Atlético Mineiro, 2 for Cruzeiro and 2 draws.

Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro stats

Match statistics
62%Possession38%
8On target4
20Shots9
8Corners2
11Fouls13
1Offsides0
3Saves5
1Yellow cards7
0Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Atlético Mineiro win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Atlético MineiroWDDWD

Atlético Mineiro's last matches
08/29Atlético Mineiro 2x1 Vitória
08/25Cruzeiro 1x1 Atlético Mineiro
08/22Internacional 0x0 Atlético Mineiro
08/16Atlético Mineiro 3x0 Grêmio
08/08Remo 2x2 Atlético Mineiro

CruzeiroLDWLW

Cruzeiro's last matches
08/29Vasco da Gama 3x1 Cruzeiro
08/25Cruzeiro 1x1 Atlético Mineiro
08/22Cruzeiro 2x1 Flamengo
08/19Flamengo 2x1 Cruzeiro
08/16Corinthians 1x2 Cruzeiro

Head-to-head

Last matches between Atlético Mineiro and Cruzeiro
08/25/2026Cruzeiro 1x1 Atlético Mineiro
05/02/2026Cruzeiro 1x3 Atlético Mineiro
10/15/2025Atlético Mineiro 1x1 Cruzeiro
09/11/2025Cruzeiro 2x0 Atlético Mineiro
08/27/2025Atlético Mineiro 0x2 Cruzeiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Frequently asked questions about Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro

What was the score of Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro?
Atlético Mineiro 2 x 1 Cruzeiro, Tuesday, September 1, at Arena MRV, in the Copa do Brasil 2026.
What did the model predict for Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro?
The model pointed to a Atlético Mineiro win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro?
Atlético Mineiro had more of the ball (62% possession), shots were 20 to 9, and corners were 8 to 2.
How did Atlético Mineiro and Cruzeiro arrive for this match?
Atlético Mineiro arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Cruzeiro arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 5 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Atlético Mineiro, 2 for Cruzeiro and 2 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.