América Mineiro 1 x 2 Botafogo SP: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 2

América Mineiro

América Mineiro

Home

1 × 2

Botafogo SP

Botafogo SP

Away

Arena MRV

What the model calculated before the match

Result

América Mineiro win33.5%
Draw20.0%
Botafogo SP win46.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals50.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Botafogo SP beat América Mineiro 2 to 1 away from home, Wednesday, April 1, at Arena MRV and in the Série B 2026.

América Mineiro had more of the ball (68% possession), shots were 8 to 9, and corners were 11 to 7.

América Mineiro arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Botafogo SP arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended América Mineiro 1 x 0 Botafogo SP.

América Mineiro vs Botafogo SP stats

Match statistics
68%Possession32%
1On target5
8Shots9
11Corners7
15Fouls17
1Offsides2
3Saves0
2Yellow cards4

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Botafogo SP win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

América MineiroLDDDW

América Mineiro's last matches
03/22Goiás 3x1 América Mineiro
03/12Barra FC 0x0 América Mineiro
03/04América Mineiro 1x1 Tirol
11/16América Mineiro 1x1 Cuiabá
10/25Athletic Club 0x2 América Mineiro

Botafogo SPWDLLW

Botafogo SP's last matches
03/21Botafogo SP 4x0 Fortaleza
10/19Botafogo SP 2x2 Cuiabá
09/14Athletic Club 2x0 Botafogo SP
09/06Botafogo SP 1x3 Athletico PR
08/25Botafogo SP 2x0 Vila Nova

Head-to-head

Last matches between América Mineiro and Botafogo SP
04/05/2025América Mineiro 1x0 Botafogo SP

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Frequently asked questions about América Mineiro vs Botafogo SP

What was the score of América Mineiro vs Botafogo SP?
América Mineiro 1 x 2 Botafogo SP, Wednesday, April 1, at Arena MRV, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for América Mineiro vs Botafogo SP?
The model pointed to a Botafogo SP win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for América Mineiro vs Botafogo SP?
América Mineiro had more of the ball (68% possession), shots were 8 to 9, and corners were 11 to 7.
How did América Mineiro and Botafogo SP arrive for this match?
América Mineiro arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Botafogo SP arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended América Mineiro 1 x 0 Botafogo SP.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.